Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 91.388321 101.843076 112.505098 124.161323 136.515728 149.191335 163.150731
2025-03-02 75.167658 90.213811 106.204907 124.343635 144.229752 165.259493 189.072161
2025-03-09 65.533155 83.179858 102.513652 125.020975 150.267769 177.499573 208.882901
2025-03-16 56.893411 76.152273 97.856570 123.718603 153.311514 185.770181 223.726723
2025-03-23 51.629518 72.385202 96.348820 125.460065 159.311345 196.936010 241.434816
2025-03-30 47.421886 69.429975 95.410362 127.521584 165.390587 207.962571 258.797504
2025-04-06 42.358511 64.984134 92.330176 126.737679 167.896349 214.693097 271.100552
2025-04-13 37.024376 59.764443 87.949169 124.075208 167.919477 218.336775 279.674288
2025-04-20 35.327371 59.101131 89.084307 127.999329 175.683676 230.923658 298.532312
2025-04-27 33.161137 57.632548 89.065351 130.391102 181.525009 241.202437 314.678901
2025-05-04 29.933876 54.477049 86.695677 129.694732 183.495760 246.815402 325.298978
2025-05-11 26.838071 51.270745 84.074372 128.521977 184.754141 251.481562 334.726794
2025-05-18 24.733387 49.372251 83.122053 129.457756 188.636309 259.350226 348.049403
2025-05-25 22.425791 47.001585 81.408135 129.313036 191.106789 265.480784 359.294221
2025-06-01 20.625150 45.255959 80.442537 130.058811 194.628975 272.840577 371.978177
2025-06-08 18.329080 42.544467 77.987852 128.716871 195.414823 276.794383 380.522076
2025-06-15 17.159717 41.554239 77.906874 130.501511 200.159453 285.588986 394.903803
2025-06-22 16.172883 40.787337 78.094451 132.612116 205.301839 294.867450 409.878893
2025-06-29 14.480223 38.671510 76.207922 131.809539 206.612166 299.355367 419.001687
2025-07-06 12.459899 35.775048 73.014837 129.083183 205.317487 300.524669 424.013678
2025-07-13 12.204622 36.080440 74.655111 133.101266 212.891842 312.815673 442.686629
2025-07-20 11.604942 35.686872 75.193018 135.549744 218.386204 322.496650 458.165793
2025-07-27 10.360037 33.933252 73.542926 134.836908 219.640954 326.802889 467.002773